1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Gorica an expected 1.3 goals and NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.0 goals. HNK Gorica have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and NK Lokomotiva at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.6%
0:1
10%
0:0
9.7%
2:1
8.5%
2:0
8.2%
1:2
6.7%
0:2
5.2%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Gorica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Gorica | NK Lokomotiva | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 5 |
| 41 | Points | 44 |
| 31% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
HNK Gorica at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
NK Lokomotiva Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
HNK Gorica
D
D
NK Lokomotiva
D
L
L
