NK Varaždin vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · HNL
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.80
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Varaždin an expected 1.8 goals and NK Slaven Belupo an expected 1.1 goals. NK Varaždin have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and NK Slaven Belupo at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
2:1 9.8%
1:0 9.6%
2:0 8.6%
1:2 6.2%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.8%
2:2 5.5%
0:0 5.3%
3:0 5.1%
0:2 3.4%
3:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick NK Varaždin Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

NK Varaždin NK Slaven Belupo
3 League Position 7
54 Points 41
42% Win % 28%
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69

Venue Form

NK Varaždin at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
NK Slaven Belupo Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

NK Varaždin
L W
NK Slaven Belupo
W D L L L