1
22%
Home Win
4.58
X
22%
Draw
4.6
2
56%
Away Win
1.77
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.97
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nice an expected 1.1 goals and Strasbourg an expected 2.0 goals. Nice have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Strasbourg at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
8.7%
0:2
8.6%
1:3
6.5%
2:1
5.7%
2:2
5.7%
0:3
5.6%
1:0
5.1%
0:0
4.4%
2:3
3.7%
1:4
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Strasbourg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Nice | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 8 |
| 32 | Points | 53 |
| 21% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Nice at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Strasbourg Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Nice
W
D
D
Strasbourg
W
W
D
W