1
29%
Home Win
3.42
X
24%
Draw
4.11
2
46%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nice an expected 1.3 goals and Lorient an expected 1.6 goals. Nice have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lorient at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.1%
1:0
7%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.6%
1:3
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.1%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Nice | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 10 |
| 32 | Points | 45 |
| 21% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Nice at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Lorient Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nice
D
Lorient
W
D
D