1
39%
Home Win
2.53
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
36%
Away Win
2.74
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Newcastle United an expected 1.6 goals and Bournemouth an expected 1.5 goals. Newcastle United have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Bournemouth at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
8.2%
1:0
7.4%
0:1
7.1%
2:2
6.4%
2:0
5.8%
0:2
5.3%
0:0
4.8%
3:1
4.5%
1:3
4.1%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Newcastle United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Newcastle United | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 6 |
| 49 | Points | 57 |
| 37% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
Venue Form
Newcastle United at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Bournemouth Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Newcastle United
W
L
W
Bournemouth
W
W
