1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 1.3 goals and Puebla an expected 0.8 goals. Necaxa have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Puebla at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.4%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
12.1%
2:0
11%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.4%
3:0
5%
1:2
4.7%
3:1
3.8%
0:2
3.5%
2:2
3.2%
4:0
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Necaxa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 17 |
| 18 | Points | 13 |
| 29% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Puebla Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
L
L
D
D
Puebla
L
W
L
W
L
