1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.54
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.5 goals and Excelsior an expected 1.1 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Excelsior at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.1%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.3%
3:0
6.8%
1:0
6.4%
2:2
5.3%
4:1
5%
3:2
4.5%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
0:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 59 | Points | 38 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D4
L0
(4 games)
Excelsior Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
D
D
D
Excelsior
L
D
D
W
