1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
21%
Away Win
4.76
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nashville SC an expected 1.6 goals and Toronto FC an expected 0.9 goals. Nashville SC have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Toronto FC at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
1:1
11.9%
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.4%
0:0
8.5%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
5.6%
1:2
5.3%
3:1
4.9%
2:2
4.1%
0:2
3.3%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 54 | Points | 32 |
| 47% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Nashville SC at Home
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
Toronto FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Nashville SC
W
W
W
D
W
Toronto FC
L
