1
19%
Home Win
5.27
X
24%
Draw
4.1
2
57%
Away Win
1.76
xG Home
0.84
xG Away
1.66
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 0.8 goals and FC Cincinnati an expected 1.7 goals. Montréal Impact have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Cincinnati at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.6%
1:1
11.5%
0:2
11.3%
1:2
9.5%
0:0
8.2%
1:0
6.9%
0:3
6.2%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
4.8%
2:2
4%
2:0
2.9%
0:4
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Cincinnati Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Montréal Impact | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 2 |
| 28 | Points | 65 |
| 18% | Win % | 59% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Montréal Impact at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
FC Cincinnati Away
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Montréal Impact
W
W
W
FC Cincinnati
D
D
W
D
