1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
21%
Draw
4.71
2
32%
Away Win
3.15
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.66
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlotte an expected 2.0 goals and Chicago Fire an expected 1.7 goals. Charlotte have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Chicago Fire at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.5%
1:1
8.4%
2:2
7.1%
1:2
6.9%
3:1
5.8%
2:0
5.1%
1:0
5%
3:2
4.8%
0:1
4.1%
2:3
3.9%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlotte Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 59 | Points | 53 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Charlotte at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Chicago Fire Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Charlotte
D
L
Chicago Fire
L
D
