1
23%
Home Win
4.27
X
24%
Draw
4.12
2
52%
Away Win
1.91
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.67
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlanta United FC an expected 1.0 goals and New York City FC an expected 1.7 goals. Atlanta United FC have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and New York City FC at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
0:1
11.2%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9.3%
1:0
6.9%
0:0
6.7%
2:1
6%
1:3
5.4%
0:3
5.2%
2:2
5%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New York City FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Atlanta United FC | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 5 |
| 28 | Points | 56 |
| 15% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Atlanta United FC at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
New York City FC Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
L
New York City FC
W
L
W
