1
52%
Home Win
1.92
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
25%
Away Win
4.04
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Philadelphia Union an expected 1.8 goals and Orlando City an expected 1.2 goals. Philadelphia Union have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Orlando City at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.2%
2:0
8.3%
1:2
6.3%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.8%
2:2
5.7%
0:0
5.1%
3:0
5%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 66 | Points | 53 |
| 59% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Philadelphia Union at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Orlando City Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
Orlando City
L
W
L
