1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
26%
Draw
3.83
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.4 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.2 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
10.1%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
7.6%
0:0
7.2%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nagoya Grampus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 14 |
| 43 | Points | 44 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Shimizu S-Pulse Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
W
W
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
W
Head to Head
Shimizu S-pulse
0 : 2
Nagoya Grampus
W
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 0
Shimizu S-pulse
L
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1
Shimizu S-pulse
D
