1
25%
Home Win
3.94
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
49%
Away Win
2.03
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.56
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.0 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 1.6 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Machida Zelvia at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
11.6%
1:2
9.4%
0:2
9%
1:0
7.7%
0:0
7.4%
2:1
6.3%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
4.9%
0:3
4.7%
2:0
4%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 60 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Machida Zelvia Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
W
W
Machida Zelvia
D
W
Head to Head
Machida Zelvia
3 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
Machida Zelvia
W
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
L