1
36%
Home Win
2.75
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
40%
Away Win
2.52
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.5 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.6 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Gamba Osaka at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
8.2%
0:1
7.2%
1:0
6.8%
2:2
6.5%
0:2
5.7%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
0:0
4.5%
3:1
4.1%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 9 |
| 43 | Points | 57 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
W
W
Gamba Osaka
W
L
L