1
18%
Home Win
5.49
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
60%
Away Win
1.68
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.87
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Moreirense an expected 0.9 goals and SC Braga an expected 1.9 goals. Moreirense have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and SC Braga at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.4%
0:2
10.7%
1:1
10.6%
1:2
9.9%
0:3
6.7%
1:3
6.2%
0:0
6.1%
1:0
5.6%
2:1
4.9%
2:2
4.6%
0:4
3.1%
1:4
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Moreirense | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 43 | Points | 59 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Moreirense at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
SC Braga Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Moreirense
W
W
SC Braga
D
L
W
