1
36%
Home Win
2.75
X
21%
Draw
4.65
2
42%
Away Win
2.38
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
1.93
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monaco an expected 1.8 goals and Marseille an expected 1.9 goals. Monaco have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Marseille at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
8.4%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
7.2%
1:3
5.2%
0:1
4.7%
2:3
4.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:1
4.5%
1:0
4.3%
3:2
4.3%
2:0
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Monaco | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 5 |
| 54 | Points | 59 |
| 47% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Monaco at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Marseille Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monaco
L
D
D
Marseille
W
L
L
