1
35%
Home Win
2.83
X
24%
Draw
4.18
2
41%
Away Win
2.46
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monaco an expected 1.5 goals and Lille an expected 1.6 goals. Monaco have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lille at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
8%
0:1
7.4%
1:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
0:2
5.9%
2:0
5%
0:0
4.7%
1:3
4.6%
3:1
3.9%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 3 |
| 54 | Points | 61 |
| 47% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Monaco at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Lille Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monaco
L
D
D
Lille
W
W
D
