1
26%
Home Win
3.8
X
22%
Draw
4.65
2
52%
Away Win
1.92
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
2.02
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monaco an expected 1.4 goals and Lens an expected 2.0 goals. Monaco have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Lens at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.4%
1:1
9.3%
0:2
6.7%
0:1
6.7%
2:2
6.5%
2:1
6.4%
1:3
6.3%
1:0
4.6%
0:3
4.5%
2:3
4.4%
0:0
3.3%
1:4
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Monaco | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 2 |
| 54 | Points | 70 |
| 47% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Monaco at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Lens Away
W0
D3
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monaco
L
D
D
Lens
D
D
D