1
19%
Home Win
5.24
X
21%
Draw
4.82
2
60%
Away Win
1.66
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
2.07
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Metz an expected 1.1 goals and Lorient an expected 2.1 goals. Metz have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Lorient at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.9%
1:1
9.6%
0:2
9.2%
0:1
8.8%
1:3
6.8%
0:3
6.3%
2:2
5.4%
2:1
5.2%
1:0
4.6%
0:0
4.3%
2:3
3.7%
1:4
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Metz | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 10 |
| 17 | Points | 45 |
| 9% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Metz at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Lorient Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Metz
L
L
L
Lorient
W
W
D
D
