1
49%
Home Win
2.05
X
22%
Draw
4.57
2
29%
Away Win
3.42
xG Home
1.96
xG Away
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Marseille an expected 2.0 goals and Strasbourg an expected 1.5 goals. Marseille have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Strasbourg at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.3%
2:1
9.1%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.3%
2:0
6.1%
3:1
6%
0:1
4.7%
3:2
4.4%
3:0
4%
0:2
3.5%
1:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Marseille | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 8 |
| 59 | Points | 53 |
| 53% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Marseille at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Strasbourg Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Marseille
D
W
Strasbourg
W
D
W