1
24%
Home Win
4.12
X
22%
Draw
4.46
2
53%
Away Win
1.88
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.89
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Marseille an expected 1.2 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.9 goals. Marseille have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Paris Saint Germain at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
9.7%
0:1
8.5%
0:2
8%
2:1
6.2%
1:3
6.1%
2:2
5.9%
1:0
5.4%
0:3
5.1%
0:0
4.5%
2:3
3.7%
2:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Marseille | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 59 | Points | 76 |
| 53% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Marseille at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Marseille
L
D
W
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
