1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
21%
Draw
4.79
2
21%
Away Win
4.67
xG Home
2.09
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Marseille an expected 2.1 goals and Paris FC an expected 1.2 goals. Marseille have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Paris FC at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.4%
2:0
8.1%
1:0
7.8%
3:1
6.8%
2:2
5.9%
3:0
5.7%
1:2
5.6%
0:1
4.5%
3:2
4.1%
0:0
3.7%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Marseille | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 59 | Points | 44 |
| 53% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Marseille at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Paris FC Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Marseille
D
W
Paris FC
L
W
