1
56%
Home Win
1.79
X
22%
Draw
4.51
2
22%
Away Win
4.56
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester United an expected 1.9 goals and Nottingham Forest an expected 1.1 goals. Manchester United have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Nottingham Forest at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.2%
2:0
8.8%
3:1
6.3%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:1
5.4%
0:0
4.8%
3:2
3.5%
0:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nottingham Forest Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester United | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 16 |
| 71 | Points | 44 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Manchester United at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Nottingham Forest Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Manchester United
W
W
Nottingham Forest
W
W
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest
2 : 2
Manchester United
D
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0
Manchester United
L
Manchester United
2 : 3
Nottingham Forest
W
