1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Makhachkala an expected 1.0 goals and Akron an expected 1.1 goals. Makhachkala have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Akron at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.2%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
13.5%
1:0
12.9%
0:2
7.4%
1:2
7.1%
2:1
6.4%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
3.4%
0:3
2.6%
1:3
2.5%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Akron Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Makhachkala | Akron | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 13 |
| 26 | Points | 27 |
| 17% | Win % | 20% |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Makhachkala at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Akron Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Makhachkala
W
Akron
D
D