1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
29%
Draw
3.48
2
27%
Away Win
3.73
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.3 goals and Urawa an expected 0.9 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Urawa at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.3%
0:1
10.3%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
6%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.8%
2:2
3.8%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Urawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 60 | Points | 59 |
| 45% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Urawa Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
W
D
W
Urawa
D
L
W
W
L
Head to Head
Urawa
1 : 2
Machida Zelvia
W
Urawa
0 : 0
Machida Zelvia
D
Machida Zelvia
0 : 2
Urawa
W