1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
23%
Draw
4.41
2
28%
Away Win
3.53
xG Home
1.85
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.8 goals and Kawasaki Frontale an expected 1.4 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Kawasaki Frontale at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.5%
1:2
6.9%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.5%
3:0
4.2%
0:0
4%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Kawasaki Frontale | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 60 | Points | 57 |
| 45% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Kawasaki Frontale Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
W
W
D
W
Kawasaki Frontale
L
L
L
L
W
