1
33%
Home Win
3.02
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.1 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.2 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12%
1:0
10.8%
0:0
9.8%
1:2
8%
0:2
7.3%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.4%
1:3
3.3%
0:3
3%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 60 | Points | 75 |
| 45% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
D
W
W
D
W
Kashiwa Reysol
W
W
L
L
