1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
23%
Draw
4.29
2
29%
Away Win
3.4
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lyon an expected 1.8 goals and Rennes FC an expected 1.3 goals. Lyon have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Rennes FC at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
7.9%
1:2
7.1%
2:0
7%
2:2
6.3%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.5%
0:0
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Lyon | Rennes FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 60 | Points | 59 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Lyon at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Rennes FC Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lyon
W
W
W
Rennes FC
W
L
W
L
