1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
18%
Away Win
5.71
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
0.73
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lyon an expected 1.5 goals and LE Havre AC an expected 0.7 goals. Lyon have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and LE Havre AC at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.9%
2:0
12.3%
1:1
11.6%
0:0
10.3%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.3%
3:1
4.6%
1:2
4.2%
2:2
3.3%
0:2
2.7%
4:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Lyon | LE Havre AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 60 | Points | 35 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Lyon at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
LE Havre AC Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lyon
W
W
W
LE Havre AC
D
D
