1
56%
Home Win
1.8
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
19%
Away Win
5.35
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lyon an expected 1.5 goals and Auxerre an expected 0.8 goals. Lyon have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Auxerre at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.2%
2:0
11.8%
1:1
11.8%
0:0
9.9%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
7.6%
3:0
6.1%
3:1
4.7%
1:2
4.5%
2:2
3.5%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Lyon | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 15 |
| 60 | Points | 34 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Lyon at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Auxerre Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lyon
W
W
W
Auxerre
L
D
L
