1
40%
Home Win
2.52
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
35%
Away Win
2.84
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lorient an expected 1.5 goals and Toulouse an expected 1.4 goals. Lorient have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Toulouse at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
8.6%
0:1
8.1%
1:2
8%
2:0
6.3%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.9%
0:2
5.5%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Lorient | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 9 |
| 45 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Lorient at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Toulouse Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Lorient
L
W
Toulouse
W
