1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
28%
Away Win
3.55
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lorient an expected 1.5 goals and Estac Troyes an expected 1.1 goals. Lorient have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Estac Troyes at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.2%
0:1
8%
0:0
7.1%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Venue Form
Lorient at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Estac Troyes Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Lorient
L
W
Estac Troyes
L
