1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.2 goals and Krasnodar an expected 1.9 goals. Lokomotiv Moscow have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Krasnodar at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
9.8%
0:1
8.8%
0:2
8.3%
1:3
6.2%
2:1
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
1:0
5.4%
0:3
5.3%
0:0
4.6%
2:3
3.6%
2:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 53 | Points | 66 |
| 47% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
Venue Form
Lokomotiv Moscow at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Krasnodar Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Lokomotiv Moscow
D
Krasnodar
D
