1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
25%
Away Win
3.95
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Liverpool an expected 1.7 goals and Fulham an expected 1.2 goals. Liverpool have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Fulham at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.5%
2:0
8.3%
1:2
6.4%
0:1
6.3%
3:1
5.6%
2:2
5.6%
0:0
5.5%
3:0
4.8%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Liverpool Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Liverpool | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 60 | Points | 52 |
| 45% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Liverpool at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Fulham Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Liverpool
D
W
Fulham
L
D
W
