1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Liverpool an expected 1.6 goals and Brighton an expected 1.3 goals. Liverpool have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Brighton at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
2:1
9.1%
1:0
9%
1:2
7.4%
0:1
7.3%
2:0
7.1%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.7%
3:1
4.8%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Liverpool Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 8 |
| 60 | Points | 53 |
| 45% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Liverpool at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Brighton Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Liverpool
W
D
D
W
Brighton
L
W
L
D
W
