1
24%
Home Win
4.11
X
25%
Draw
3.93
2
50%
Away Win
1.99
xG Home
1.00
xG Away
1.56
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lille an expected 1.0 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.6 goals. Lille have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Paris Saint Germain at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.1%
1:1
12.1%
0:2
9.4%
1:2
9.4%
0:0
7.8%
1:0
7.8%
2:1
6%
0:3
4.9%
1:3
4.9%
2:2
4.7%
2:0
3.9%
2:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Lille | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 61 | Points | 76 |
| 53% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Lille at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lille
D
D
Paris Saint Germain
W
W