FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
EN

Lens vs Marseille — Prediction

Lens Lens
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Marseille Marseille

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lens
  • Lens 1–9 Como
  • Lille 1–0 Lens
  • Lens 2–1 Paris FC
  • Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens
  • Monaco 2–1 Lens
Marseille
  • Marseille 2–0 Toulouse
  • Marseille 4–3 LE Havre AC
  • Angers 2–5 Marseille
  • Estac Troyes 0–2 Marseille
  • Marseille 0–0 Paris Saint Germain
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lens 9 · Marseille 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Marseille 40% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.83
Model goal expectation · 2 1.96
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 72%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lens 1.83 · Marseille 1.96.
1 37% · X 21% · 2 42%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 8.1%
1:2 8%
2:1 7.4%
2:2 7.3%
1:3 5.2%
2:3 4.7%
3:1 4.5%
0:1 4.5%
3:2 4.4%
0:2 4.4%
1:0 4.2%
2:0 3.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Marseille Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Lens Marseille
9 League Position 6
13 Points 15
44% Win % 56%
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Lens at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Marseille Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Lens
L L W W L
Marseille
W W W W D

More Ligue 1 Predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 71%
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 86%
Angers vs Nice
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 45%
LE Havre AC vs Lorient
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 45%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Match pages

Open fixtures, match information and available analysis.

Explore →

Football predictions

Explore the available match catalogue and its filters.

Explore →

Prediction results

Inspect available settled selections and their outcomes.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.