1
67%
Home Win
1.49
X
21%
Draw
4.83
2
12%
Away Win
8.16
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 1.9 goals and Auxerre an expected 0.7 goals. Lens have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Auxerre at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
2:0
13.7%
1:1
9.7%
2:1
9.3%
3:0
8.8%
0:0
7.4%
3:1
6%
0:1
5%
4:0
4.2%
1:2
3.3%
2:2
3.1%
4:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 15 |
| 70 | Points | 34 |
| 65% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Auxerre Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
W
Auxerre
L
D
L