Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.09
xG Away 0.98
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Legia Warszawa an expected 1.1 goals and Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.0 goals. Legia Warszawa have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Zaglebie Lubin at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.8%
1:1 13.5%
0:0 12.7%
0:1 12.4%
2:0 7.5%
2:1 7.3%
1:2 6.6%
0:2 6%
2:2 3.6%
3:0 2.7%
3:1 2.7%
1:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Legia Warszawa Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Legia Warszawa Zaglebie Lubin
6 League Position 7
49 Points 48
35% Win % 38%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Legia Warszawa at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Zaglebie Lubin Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Legia Warszawa
D W
Zaglebie Lubin
W D W

Head to Head

17 Apr 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa 1 : 0 Zaglebie Lubin
L
19 Oct 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin 3 : 1 Legia Warszawa
L
08 Dec 2024 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin 0 : 3 Legia Warszawa
W