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Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa — Prediction

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Legia Warszawa
  • Gornik Zabrze 0–0 Legia Warszawa
  • Legia Warszawa 1–2 Lech Poznan
  • Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Legia Warszawa
  • Legia Warszawa 2–0 Wisla Krakow
  • Jagiellonia 1–3 Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
  • Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Pogoń Szczecin
  • Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • Korona Kielce 3–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Legia Warszawa 34 · Raków Częstochowa 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Legia Warszawa 37% · 2026-11-07 02:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.15
Model goal expectation · 2 1.11
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Legia Warszawa 1.15 · Raków Częstochowa 1.11.
1 37% · X 29% · 2 35%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.1%
0:1 11.6%
0:0 10.5%
2:1 7.6%
1:2 7.4%
2:0 6.9%
0:2 6.4%
2:2 4.2%
3:1 2.9%
1:3 2.7%
3:0 2.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Legia Warszawa Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7

Team Comparison

Legia Warszawa Raków Częstochowa
6 League Position 4
49 Points 55
35% Win % 47%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Legia Warszawa at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Raków Częstochowa Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Legia Warszawa
D L D W W
Raków Częstochowa
W L W L W

More Ekstraklasa Predictions

Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
Sat 07 Nov
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice
Sat 07 Nov
Widzew Łódź vs Pogoń Szczecin
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 49%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.