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Widzew Łódź vs Pogoń Szczecin — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Widzew Łódź
  • GKS Katowice 3–2 Widzew Łódź
  • Widzew Łódź 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
  • Widzew Łódź 0–0 Wisla Krakow
  • Widzew Łódź 2–2 Wieczysta Kraków
  • Legia Warszawa 1–1 Widzew Łódź
Pogoń Szczecin
  • Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Pogoń Szczecin
  • Pogoń Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom
  • GKS Katowice 0–1 Pogoń Szczecin
  • Piast Gliwice 1–2 Pogoń Szczecin
  • Pogoń Szczecin 2–0 Wieczysta Kraków
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Widzew Łódź 34 · Pogoń Szczecin 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Widzew Łódź 39% · 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.37
Model goal expectation · 2 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Widzew Łódź 1.37 · Pogoń Szczecin 1.13.
1 42% · X 27% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 11.3%
0:1 9.3%
2:1 8.7%
0:0 8.2%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 7.2%
0:2 5.2%
2:2 4.9%
3:1 4%
3:0 3.5%
1:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Widzew Łódź Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Widzew Łódź Pogoń Szczecin
14 League Position 9
42 Points 45
35% Win % 38%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Widzew Łódź at Home
W0 D3 L0 (3 games)
0% win rate
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Widzew Łódź
L D D D D
Pogoń Szczecin
L W W W W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.