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Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 11:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Korona Kielce
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Korona Kielce
  • Korona Kielce 1–0 GKS Katowice
  • Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce
  • Korona Kielce 3–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • Śląsk Wrocław 1–2 Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
  • Radomiak Radom 3–1 Śląsk Wrocław
  • Pogoń Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom
  • Wisla Plock 1–0 Radomiak Radom
  • Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin
  • Lech Poznan 3–1 Radomiak Radom
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Korona Kielce 34 · Radomiak Radom 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Radomiak Radom 39% · 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.45
Model goal expectation · 2 1.22
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Korona Kielce 1.45 · Radomiak Radom 1.22.
1 42% · X 26% · 2 32%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 8.9%
0:1 8.5%
1:2 7.5%
2:0 7.3%
0:0 7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 5.2%
3:1 4.3%
3:0 3.5%
1:3 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Korona Kielce Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom
11 League Position 10
43 Points 44
32% Win % 32%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Korona Kielce at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Radomiak Radom Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Korona Kielce
L W L W W
Radomiak Radom
W L L L L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.