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Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice — Prediction

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 13:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Jagiellonia
  • Levski Sofia 1–0 Jagiellonia
  • Wieczysta Kraków 1–3 Jagiellonia
  • Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia
  • Jagiellonia 1–3 Legia Warszawa
GKS Katowice
  • GKS Katowice 3–2 Widzew Łódź
  • Korona Kielce 1–0 GKS Katowice
  • GKS Katowice 0–1 Pogoń Szczecin
  • GKS Katowice 3–2 Cracovia Krakow
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 GKS Katowice
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Jagiellonia 34 · GKS Katowice 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Jagiellonia 48% · 2026-11-07 02:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.72
Model goal expectation · 2 1.22
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 58%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Jagiellonia 1.72 · GKS Katowice 1.22.
1 49% · X 24% · 2 27%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.5%
1:0 9%
2:0 7.8%
1:2 6.8%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 5.8%
3:1 5.5%
0:0 5.3%
3:0 4.5%
0:2 3.9%
3:2 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Jagiellonia Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

Jagiellonia GKS Katowice
3 League Position 5
56 Points 50
44% Win % 41%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Jagiellonia at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Jagiellonia
L W W L L
GKS Katowice
W L L W L

Head to Head

17 May 2026 ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice 1 : 1 Jagiellonia
D

More Ekstraklasa Predictions

Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
Sat 07 Nov
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice
Sat 07 Nov
Widzew Łódź vs Pogoń Szczecin
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 47%

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01

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02

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03

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