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Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lech Poznan
  • Lech Poznan 3–1 Wisla Krakow
  • Legia Warszawa 1–2 Lech Poznan
  • Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce
  • Lech Poznan 3–1 Radomiak Radom
  • Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Korona Kielce
  • Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia
  • Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 Wisla Plock
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 GKS Katowice
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lech Poznan 34 · Zaglebie Lubin 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lech Poznan 56% · 2026-11-07 02:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.61
Model goal expectation · 2 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lech Poznan 1.61 · Zaglebie Lubin 1.19.
1 47% · X 25% · 2 28%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.7%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lech Poznan Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Lech Poznan Zaglebie Lubin
1 League Position 7
60 Points 48
47% Win % 38%
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Lech Poznan at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Zaglebie Lubin Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lech Poznan
W W W W L
Zaglebie Lubin
W D W L W

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.