1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
31%
Away Win
3.28
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.7 goals and Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.3 goals. Lech Poznan have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Raków Częstochowa at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.2%
1:0
8.1%
1:2
7.3%
2:0
6.9%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6.2%
3:1
5.2%
0:0
4.8%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
3.9%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 60 | Points | 55 |
| 47% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Raków Częstochowa Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
D
W
Raków Częstochowa
L
W
