Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.78
xG Away 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.8 goals and Cracovia Krakow an expected 1.0 goals. Lech Poznan have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Cracovia Krakow at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.8%
2:0 9.6%
0:1 6.2%
0:0 6%
3:1 5.8%
1:2 5.7%
3:0 5.7%
2:2 5%
0:2 3.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lech Poznan Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Lech Poznan Cracovia Krakow
1 League Position 13
60 Points 42
47% Win % 26%
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Lech Poznan at Home
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate
Cracovia Krakow Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Lech Poznan
W W D W
Cracovia Krakow
L L D L W

Head to Head

07 Dec 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Krakow 2 : 2 Lech Poznan
D
18 Jul 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan 1 : 4 Cracovia Krakow
W
21 Apr 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan 2 : 1 Cracovia Krakow
L