1
74%
Home Win
1.36
X
16%
Draw
6.42
2
11%
Away Win
9.29
xG Home
2.58
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 2.6 goals and Arka Gdynia an expected 0.9 goals. Lech Poznan have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Arka Gdynia at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
8.9%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.1%
4:0
5.7%
4:1
5.1%
2:2
4.1%
3:2
3.6%
1:2
3.2%
0:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 17 |
| 60 | Points | 36 |
| 47% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Arka Gdynia Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
D
W
Arka Gdynia
D
L
