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Lecce vs Genoa — Prediction

Lecce Lecce
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Genoa Genoa

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lecce
  • Frosinone 5–1 Lecce
  • Lecce 0–2 Juventus
  • AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
  • Lecce 3–2 Monza
  • Cagliari 1–0 Lecce
Genoa
  • Genoa 2–0 Juventus
  • Genoa 1–0 Venezia
  • Parma 2–1 Genoa
  • Genoa 1–0 Sudtirol
  • Genoa 1–1 Frosinone
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lecce 9 · Genoa 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lecce 46% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 35%
Home Win 2.83
X 29%
Draw 3.43
2 36%
Away Win 2.82
Model goal expectation · 1 1.10
Model goal expectation · 2 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lecce 1.10 · Genoa 1.10.
1 35% · X 29% · 2 36%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.4%
0:1 12.2%
1:0 12.2%
0:0 11.1%
1:2 7.4%
2:1 7.4%
0:2 6.7%
2:0 6.7%
2:2 4.1%
1:3 2.7%
3:1 2.7%
0:3 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Genoa Win
Probability 36%
Predicted Odds 2.78

Team Comparison

Lecce Genoa
14 League Position 13
9 Points 10
33% Win % 33%
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Lecce at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Genoa Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lecce
L L L W L
Genoa
W W L W D

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