Como vs Venezia — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Como
  • Torino 1–3 Como
  • Como 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Frosinone 2–0 Como
  • Como 2–1 Parma
  • Como 4–1 RB Leipzig
Venezia
  • Venezia 0–2 Inter
  • Genoa 1–0 Venezia
  • Venezia 0–2 Lazio
  • Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina
  • Frosinone 3–2 Venezia
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Como 9 · Venezia 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Como 72% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.73
Model goal expectation · 2 0.35
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 27%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Como 2.73 · Venezia 0.35.
1 87% · X 10% · 2 3%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 17.2%
3:0 15.6%
1:0 12.6%
4:0 10.7%
2:1 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 4.6%
1:1 4.4%
4:1 3.7%
0:1 1.6%
2:2 1%
3:2 0.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Como Win
Probability 87%
Predicted Odds 1.15

Team Comparison

Como Venezia
4 League Position 20
20 Points 3
67% Win % 11%
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11

Venue Form

Como at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Venezia Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Como
W W L W W
Venezia
L L L L L